Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000188 0.000209 0.000231 0.000257 0.000286 0.000318 0.000356
2025-03-09 0.000149 0.000178 0.000213 0.000257 0.000311 0.000376 0.000461
2025-03-16 0.000120 0.000152 0.000192 0.000246 0.000317 0.000410 0.000539
2025-03-23 0.000105 0.000139 0.000184 0.000247 0.000336 0.000459 0.000643
2025-03-30 0.000097 0.000133 0.000182 0.000256 0.000365 0.000524 0.000777
2025-04-06 0.000086 0.000121 0.000172 0.000251 0.000372 0.000556 0.000866
2025-04-13 0.000075 0.000109 0.000158 0.000238 0.000365 0.000567 0.000922
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000103 0.000154 0.000239 0.000380 0.000612 0.001040
2025-04-27 0.000065 0.000100 0.000153 0.000245 0.000402 0.000673 0.001194
2025-05-04 0.000060 0.000094 0.000148 0.000243 0.000411 0.000710 0.001310
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000090 0.000145 0.000244 0.000426 0.000760 0.001459
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000086 0.000141 0.000242 0.000434 0.000798 0.001590
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000082 0.000138 0.000243 0.000449 0.000853 0.001770
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000078 0.000134 0.000242 0.000460 0.000904 0.001953
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000072 0.000126 0.000232 0.000452 0.000912 0.002041
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000069 0.000123 0.000233 0.000467 0.000973 0.002265
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000069 0.000125 0.000242 0.000498 0.001073 0.002611
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000065 0.000120 0.000236 0.000498 0.001104 0.002782
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000225 0.000483 0.001095 0.002841
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000058 0.000110 0.000226 0.000497 0.001159 0.003124
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000057 0.000110 0.000231 0.000522 0.001256 0.003522
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000229 0.000528 0.001305 0.003790
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000053 0.000106 0.000230 0.000544 0.001381 0.004162